|
アフガニスタンに、なにが起こるか?
戻る
・アフガニスタンの政権が交代することは確実。政権の暴力的な終焉を意味することもありえる。ひょっとして、指導者が死ぬことでそれは実現するかもしれない。
・イギリスの新聞によると、オサマビンラディン氏がアフガニスタンの事実上の指導者だとしている。そうであれば、アフガニスタンが彼を引き渡すはずがない。
・オサマとオマールだけが話題になっているが、宗教的指導者も暴力的な死に方をする可能性がある。
・指導者の死亡については、捕まるよりも死を、という考えから自決の可能性もある。
・最も凄惨な戦いは、10月18日から今年の終わりにかけて起こるのではないか。
・シーアとスンニーの両方で、大量殺戮が発生する可能性がある。
Afghanistan:
What to Expect
K.N.
Rao
All that
was said when President Bush demanded "Osama bin Laden,
dead or alive" seems to have cooled down now. I decided
to look at the horoscope of Afghanistan again to see what
to expect. I must make it clear that the basis is the Hindu
New Year horoscope here.
What
appears starkly clear is what I am stating here first:
1. The
change of government is certain . It can mean a violent end
perhaps through death of the present Afghanistan rulers.
Interestingly, according to a British newspaper, it is Osama
bin Laden who is virtually the dictator of Afghanistan which
explains why Taliban government cannot decide to hand him
over to USA. In the absence of the horoscope of Osama bin
Laden, some inferences can be drawn from day to day developments,
but not astrologically.
2. It
is not merely Osama and Omar, two people talked of most these
days but someone else also who may be a religious figure who
may die violently.
3. There
is a clear possibility of it some of these deaths becoming
dignified suicides in preference to getting caught.
4.Surprisingly,
while the CNN has been talking of the poverty of the people
of Afghanistan, and the fleeing refugees, it appears that
financially, this country is going to gain immensely and very
soon.
We will see in the remaining six months of Hindu New Year
how it will happen. I expect the bloodiest battles to take
place after the transit of Mars in Makar which will be after
October 18 and before the end of November 2001. It can be
so soon as that.
5. I
am not able to distinguish between Shias and Sunnis in the
horoscope. It is, however, clear to me that there is something
like a massacre of the religious leaders of both sects.
6.There
is nothing resembling the Afghan resistance of 1979 which
USSR remembered with bitterness. This time it is a resistance
all right but not of heroic dimensions. The write- up appearing
in newspapers and the opinion of defence experts of this being
difficult and long drawn may not be correct. The US-British
onslaught may be very decisive and very fast, it appears.
|